Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000052 0.000058 0.000066
2024-10-13 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000058 0.000069 0.000084
2024-10-20 0.000021 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000075 0.000096
2024-10-27 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000047 0.000063 0.000083 0.000110
2024-11-03 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000121
2024-11-10 0.000014 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000068 0.000096 0.000136
2024-11-17 0.000013 0.000021 0.000032 0.000048 0.000071 0.000104 0.000150
2024-11-24 0.000012 0.000020 0.000031 0.000049 0.000075 0.000111 0.000165
2024-12-01 0.000011 0.000018 0.000030 0.000048 0.000076 0.000115 0.000175
2024-12-08 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000047 0.000076 0.000119 0.000186
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000079 0.000126 0.000199
2024-12-22 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000135 0.000218
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000050 0.000086 0.000142 0.000233
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000015 0.000028 0.000051 0.000090 0.000152 0.000254
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000050 0.000090 0.000154 0.000263
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000050 0.000092 0.000161 0.000280
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000050 0.000093 0.000166 0.000291
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000097 0.000175 0.000313
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000052 0.000100 0.000184 0.000333
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000052 0.000104 0.000193 0.000353
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000052 0.000104 0.000196 0.000365
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000051 0.000104 0.000200 0.000377
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000051 0.000107 0.000208 0.000396